VERMONT LONG TERM INDUSTRY PROJECTIONS
2016 - 2026
          Annual Growth %
  NAICS Industry 2000 2016 2026 Actual Projected
    Employment Employment Employment 2000 - 2016 2016 - 2026
Private Industry          
    Natural Resources and Mining          
111 Crop Production 532 875 1,107 3.2% 2.4%
112 Animal Production 1,017 1,853 2,276 3.8% 2.1%
113 Forestry and Logging 185 189 135 0.1% -3.3%
115 Agriculture and Forestry Support Activities 346 320 345 -0.5% 0.8%
212 Mining (except Oil and Gas) 972 622 579 -2.8% -0.7%
213 Support Activities for Mining na n n na na
    Utilities          
221 Utilities 1,692 1,343 1,177 -1.4% -1.3%
    Construction          
236 Construction of Buildings 4,216 4,099 4,289 -0.2% 0.5%
237 Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction 2,070 1,484 1,468 -2.1% -0.1%
238 Specialty Trade Contractors 8,614 9,693 10,078 0.7% 0.4%
    Manufacturing          
311 Food Manufacturing 4,192 5,340 5,150 1.5% -0.4%
312 Beverage & Tobacco Product Manufacturing 244 822 1,249 7.9% 4.3%
313 Textile Mills 279 99 146 -6.3% 4.0%
314 Textile Product Mills 287 86 67 -7.3% -2.5%
315 Apparel Manufacturing 701 345 321 -4.3% -0.7%
316 Leather and Allied Product Manufacturing n n n na na
321 Wood Product Manufacturing 3,007 1,646 1,285 -3.7% -2.4%
322 Paper Manufacturing 1,722 723 685 -5.3% -0.5%
323 Printing and Related Support Activities 2,374 1,036 1,030 -5.1% -0.1%
324 Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing n n n na na
325 Chemical Manufacturing 1,044 1,476 1,608 2.2% 0.9%
326 Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing 1,849 1,174 1,205 -2.8% 0.3%
327 Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing 2,191 1,555 1,447 -2.1% -0.7%
331 Primary Metal Manufacturing 592 n n na na
332 Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing 2,621 1,885 1,614 -2.0% -1.5%
333 Machinery Manufacturing 4,439 2,859 2,539 -2.7% -1.2%
334 Computer and Electronic Product Mfg. 11,128 4,870 4,408 -5.0% -1.0%
335 Electrical Equipment and Appliances Mfg. 1,407 1,148 1,169 -1.3% 0.2%
336 Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 3,315 1,765 1,446 -3.9% -2.0%
337 Furniture and Related Product Mfg. 3,295 1,376 1,122 -5.3% -2.0%
339 Miscellaneous Manufacturing 1,585 1,526 1,577 -0.2% 0.3%
    Wholesale Trade          
423 Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods 4,560 3,855 3,724 -1.0% -0.3%
424 Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods 5,006 4,772 4,784 -0.3% 0.0%
425 Wholesale Electronic Markets, Agents, Brokers 85 669 896 13.8% 3.0%
    Retail Trade          
441 Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers 4,743 5,152 5,178 0.5% 0.1%
442 Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores 1,106 909 851 -1.2% -0.7%
443 Electronics and Appliance Stores 884 719 684 -1.3% -0.5%
444 Building Material and Garden Supply Stores 3,209 3,635 3,783 0.8% 0.4%
445 Food and Beverage Stores 9,774 10,029 10,079 0.2% 0.0%
446 Health and Personal Care Stores 1,836 1,994 2,004 0.5% 0.1%
447 Gasoline Stations 3,640 3,938 3,902 0.5% -0.1%
448 Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores 2,608 2,318 1,941 -0.7% -1.8%
451 Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book and Music Stores 2,158 1,764 1,569 -1.3% -1.2%
452 General Merchandise Stores 3,916 3,234 3,323 -1.2% 0.3%
453 Miscellaneous Store Retailers 3,132 2,124 2,065 -2.4% -0.3%
454 Nonstore Retailers 2,719 2,304 2,368 -1.0% 0.3%
    Transportation & Warehousing          
481 Air Transportation 223 114 117 -4.1% 0.3%
482 Rail Transportation 245 n n na na
483 Water Transportation n n n na na
484 Truck Transportation 2,760 2,081 1,899 -1.7% -0.9%
485 Transit and Ground Passenger Transport 1,259 1,271 1,307 0.1% 0.3%
487 Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation 42 36 36 -1.0% 0.0%
488 Support Activities for Transportation 438 484 534 0.6% 1.0%
492 Couriers and Messengers 1,184 1,101 1,219 -0.5% 1.0%
493 Warehousing and Storage 1,024 1,313 1,431 1.6% 0.9%
    Information          
511 Publishing Industries (except Internet) 2,552 1,820 1,776 -2.1% -0.2%
512 Motion Picture and Sound Recording Industries 534 342 382 -2.7% 1.1%
515 Broadcasting (except Internet) 803 702 674 -0.8% -0.4%
517 Telecommunications 2,039 1,052 761 -4.1% -3.2%
518 Data Processing, Hosting, and Related Services 518 230 244 -4.9% 0.6%
519 Other Information Services 459 491 501 0.4% 0.2%
     Financial Activities           
522 Credit Intermediation and Related Activities 4,777 4,223 4,098 -0.8% -0.3%
523 Securities, Commodity Contracts, & Investments 781 796 869 0.1% 0.9%
524 Insurance Carriers and Related Activities 3,976 4,013 3,912 0.1% -0.3%
531 Real Estate 1,708 2,171 2,359 1.5% 0.8%
532 Rental & Leasing Services 1,262 784 751 -2.9% -0.4%
533 Lessors of Nonfinancial Intangible Assets 46 15 11 -6.8% -3.1%
    Professional and Business Services          
541 Professional, Scientific & Technical Services 12,230 14,332 15,348 1.0% 0.7%
551 Management of Companies and Enterprises n 2,084 2,105 na 0.1%
561 Administrative and Support Services 7,455 10,327 11,266 2.1% 0.9%
562 Waste Management and Remediation Services 787 1,056 1,155 1.9% 0.9%
    Educational and Health Services          
611 Educational Services (incl. Public Education) 33,802 37,327 36,066 0.6% -0.3%
621 Ambulatory Health Care Services 13,602 17,031 18,974 1.4% 1.1%
622 Hospitals (incl. State Hospital) 9,859 14,032 15,752 2.2% 1.2%
623 Nursing and Residential Care Facilities 6,187 7,473 7,668 1.2% 0.3%
624 Social Assistance 5,463 12,538 14,820 5.3% 1.7%
    Leisure and Hospitality          
711 Perf. Arts, Spectator Sports, & Rel. Industries 564 851 1,049 2.6% 2.1%
712 Museums, Historical Sites, Zoos and Parks 364 504 585 2.1% 1.5%
713 Amusement, Gambling & Recreation 2,380 2,899 3,232 1.2% 1.1%
721 Accommodation 11,752 11,788 12,482 0.0% 0.6%
722 Food Services and Drinking Places 17,949 20,210 21,205 0.7% 0.5%
    Other Services          
811 Repair and Maintenance 2,932 2,715 2,771 -0.5% 0.2%
812 Personal and Laundry Services 2,180 2,061 2,072 -0.4% 0.1%
813 Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, & Prof. Orgs. n 5,605 5,529 na -0.1%
814 Private Households 1,167 658 549 -3.5% -1.8%
Total Private Industry Employment * 261,560 284,683 292,685 na 0.3%
Total Federal Government Employment 6,063 6,945 7,245 0.9% 0.4%
     Federal Government (excl. Postal Service) 3,646 5,332 5,756 2.4% 0.8%
     Postal Service 2,417 1,613 1,489 -2.5% -0.8%
State Government (excl. Education, Hospitals) 8,895 9,808 10,004 0.6% 0.2%
Local Government (excl. Education) 7,019 9,871 11,365 2.2% 1.4%
Total Government Employment 21,977 26,624 28,614 1.2% 0.7%
Total Wage & Salary Employment ** 283,537 311,307 321,299 na 0.3%
Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers 53,500 60,100 60,500 0.7% 0.1%
Total Employment ** 337,037 371,407 381,799 na 0.3%
n - data do not meet disclosure standards
na - not available
*  Total Private Industry employment includes public education and state hospital employment.
** Employment totals include suppressed values and do not equal the sum of the disclosed industry line items 
NAICS Refers to the North American Industry Classification System.
Growth rates are compound average annual rates.
last updated July 2018